Brexit will take many years to complete and some legal experts are even suggesting that it cannot even be completed considering other matters like NATO.
That it seems like a reaction against cheap labor migration amidst austerity makes it seem “populist” in the US and might even resemble the voting of rural areas against cities as well as upper versus lower classes. Neo-fascist assassination of a Labour MP makes it even have that Eastern Oregon RWNJ craziness. And racists will think this is some sort of green light for their ignorance.
But despite those resemblances, Brexit is symptomatic of much deeper conflicts going back to the Common Market origins and excerbated by the historical burdens of colonialism and military adventurism with regional poice actions going back to the end of WWII. Now it’s de-globalizing using austerity policy.
Today would have been good for currency speculation as Pound Sterling will take a beating (presently down 10% on the USD) but for those of us having trouble rubbing nickels or euros together, we’ll just have to console ourselves with predicting that there will be more chaos. Probably there’ll be greater pressure on US H-1B visas as we proceed to the continuing absurdity of “making America grape again” in November. If anything, much like the implosion of the UK’s Conservative party, tehDonald’s ascendency and current presence there golfing also signals GOPfail.
Campaigners have agitated for EU withdrawal ever since the UK joined the common market in 1973. Labour’s official policy for the next decade was to quit, and a sizeable proportion of Conservatives have never been comfortable Europeans.
The issue hounded John Major’s premiership, lay dormant through the Tony Blair years before rearing its head once again as the economy turned sour at the end of the last decade.
David Cameron was keen to move his party away from “banging on about Europe” after he become leader. But once in Downing Street, he found it impossible to resist pressure from his backbenchers to call a poll as the idea of leaving the EU gained wider traction in the country with the rise of Ukip, populist rage against remote elites and discontent about immigration…
The other force that welled up during the campaign was a wholehearted distaste for the thing that Brussels had become in the 40 years since Britain last voted in a referendum on its place in Europe.
The UK has never voted on being part of the EU, which was formed at the time of the Maastricht treaty in 1993 and expanded its remit from an economic community to include foreign affairs, justice and policing.
Both have reason to feel victimized by a global economy that has left them behind.
Both have concluded that the culprits are out-of-control immigration and an unresponsive government far away, in Washington or Brussels.
And both have decided the answer is disengagement, solving problems alone at home rather than preventing them through cooperation abroad.